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2024-12-13 13:37:51

Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.


Lianxiang Co., Ltd. and others set up a new digital technology company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Zhejiang Lianxi Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with Li Xiaoliang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the first type of value-added telecommunications services; The second kind of value-added telecommunications services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Lianxiang and others.Zongheng Communication established a new science and technology company in Zhejiang. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Zongheng Cross-border Technology (Zhejiang) Co., Ltd. was established with Xu Shasha as its legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of information security equipment; Network equipment sales; Internet of things technical services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Zongheng Communication.Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)


Hebai Group: With the help of policy dividends, it will further stimulate new consumer demand and help the company's sales promotion. Hebai Group (000417) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company's top 100 electrical appliances actively grasped the new round of "trade-in" policy opportunity, adhered to "policy+activity" to stimulate new consumption potential, and quickly launched more than 33,000 subsidized goods in 8 categories of household appliances and 24 categories of smart homes. Since the implementation of the national subsidy policy in 2024, there have been more than 100,000 rejuvenation machines in stores in Anhui Province, with sales exceeding 400 million yuan, and the sales of household appliances in stores increased by 121% year-on-year. In the next step, the company will seize the time window, continue to integrate resources, closely focus on the national subsidy policy for household appliances in Anhui Province and Hefei consumer vouchers, and further stimulate new consumer demand with the help of policy dividends to help the company's sales increase.Chongda Technology: Five measures are taken to deal with the challenges and opportunities of industry development. Chongda Technology (002815) said in the online collective reception day of investors on December 12 that the company's measures to deal with the challenges and opportunities of industry development include: optimizing product structure, continuing to promote the optimization and upgrading of product structure, increasing R&D investment and market expansion in the field of high-end PCB boards, and accelerating the introduction of high-value customers and orders; Improve production efficiency and cost control; Accelerate the pace of capacity expansion, and promote the speed of capacity improvement of Dalian Plant, Zhuhai No.1 Plant and Zhuhai No.2 Plant in an orderly manner; According to market demand, adjust product price strategy in real time to improve profitability; Accelerate the construction of production base in Thailand, actively participate in international competition and cooperation, and enhance the company's visibility and influence in the global PCB market.The game and media sectors moved up three boards in vision china, three boards in vision china, Fuchun, Reader Media, Zhewen Internet and Guangdong Media, and Kaiying Network, Shengguang Group and Tianlong Group followed suit.

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